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TARIFF ON PRODUCTS TO USA

Immigration law

04 Mar

Tariffs play a key role in Trump's economic strategy, as he views them as a means to boost the US economy, safeguard jobs, and increase tax income. He has argued in the past that these taxes will not burden Americans but will instead be a financial burden on other countries. However, most economists consider this claim to be misleading.

During his first term, Trump imposed a number of tariffs, many of which President Joe Biden decided to keep around, kind of like a bad roommate who never moves out. Economic studies, however, suggest that the real cost ended up on the shoulders of US consumers, proving once again that when it comes to paying, the consumer always gets the bill.

The US president-elect stated that, following his inauguration on January 20, 2025, he would issue an executive order to implement a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Mexico and Canada.

He also said that on the first day of his presidency, he’d be slapping new tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, hoping they would take him seriously enough to finally tackle illegal immigration and drug smuggling because, apparently, the only thing that gets their attention faster than a tariff is a good old-fashioned trade war.

He also stated that China would face an extra 10% tariff, on top of any existing tariffs, until it took action against fentanyl smuggling. This threat could significantly escalate tensions with the US's three largest trading partners and may result in higher prices for Americans, as tariffs essentially act as a tax on imported goods.

China has confidently defended its efforts to crack down on illegal drugs, insisting it’s doing its part in the battle. At the same time, it has warned that a trade war with the US would be like two people fighting over a cake-neither side gets to enjoy it, and everyone ends up worse off.

After Trump issued his tariff threat, he had a 10-minute conversation with Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, focusing on trade and border security, according to a Canadian government official who described the discussion as "good." During the call, Trudeau highlighted that the number of migrants crossing the Canadian border was significantly lower than those at the US-Mexico border.

Meanwhile, Mexico’s finance ministry emphasized that Mexico remains the US's top trading partner and that the USMCA provides a solid framework for both national and international investors.

The proposed measures could throw a wrench into the global supply chain and hit the three countries targeted by the tariffs harder than a coffee spill on a Monday morning.

Trump stated on his Truth Social platform that the tariffs on Mexico and Canada will stay in place until both countries take stronger action against drugs, especially fentanyl, and curb illegal migration across the border. He added that both nations have the "absolute right and power" to easily resolve these long-standing issues and declared, "It is time for them to pay a very big price”.

Last year, over 80% of Mexico's exports were sent to the US, while approximately 75% of Canada's exports went to their southern neighbor. Despite years of tension between the world’s two largest economies, the US still represents about 15% of China’s exports.

Scott Bessent, Trump's choice for Treasury Secretary, once argued that the president-elect's threats to impose significant tariff increases were simply a negotiation tactic. In a pre-nomination interview with the Financial Times, Bessent described Trump as fundamentally a free trader, explaining that his approach was to "escalate to de-escalate."

USA has been facing several pressing challenges, such as an ongoing property market crisis, sluggish domestic demand, and rising local government debt. The deal, signed into law by Trump, came into effect in 2020 and upheld a mostly duty-free trade arrangement between the three neighboring countries. While the official reactions from the involved countries were largely positive, the overall response has been critical.

Doug Ford, the Premier of Ontario, Canada, warned that Trump's proposed tariff would be "devastating to workers and jobs in both Canada and the US," voicing concerns about the economic fallout on both sides of the border.

He pointed out that these tariffs could lead to job losses and higher costs for consumers, making things even more expensive  because who doesn't love paying more for less? Ford’s remarks underscore how closely linked the two economies are, and how trade barriers might just be the economic equivalent of shooting yourself in the foot, then limping across the border.

Reactions to how Canada should respond are mixed among former and current political leaders from various parties and levels, with Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre stating on Tuesday that he would be willing to retaliate "if necessary."

Ontario Premier Doug Ford, who called Trump’s tariff threat "insulting," stated that if it comes to that, "there is no choice" but to respond with counter-measures. "Hopefully we won’t come to that," Ford added, emphasizing that retaliation should be aimed at the administration, not the American people, for making the wrong call. NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh also did not rule out retaliation, calling Trump's proposal "economic bullying."

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum warned of the severe economic impact these tariffs could cause and suggested the possibility of retaliation. In a letter to Trump, which she read during a press conference, Sheinbaum stated, "One tariff will lead to another in response, and so on, until we jeopardize our shared businesses."